JEF United vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
FCY
2 - 1
JEF
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
JEF
3 - 2
ALB
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2005 |
CER
2 - 0
JEF
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
VIS
1 - 1
JEF
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
JEF
2 - 1
FCT
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
OMI
1 - 0
KAW
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
URA
1 - 2
OMI
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2005 |
OMI
0 - 2
JUB
42%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
NAG
1 - 1
OMI
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
OMI
0 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |