JEF United vs Mito Hollyhock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
EHI
2 - 1
JEF
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
JEF
1 - 2
GIR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
SHI
1 - 1
JEF
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
JEF
2 - 2
TOK
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
JEF
3 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 3
MAT
60%
24%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
MIT
20%
28%
52%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
MIT
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 2
MAC
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
YOK
1 - 1
MIT
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |