JEF United vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
VIS
5 - 5
JEF
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
JEF
0 - 2
TOK
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
JUB
6 - 2
JEF
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
JEF
4 - 2
SHO
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
NAG
3 - 0
JEF
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
KYO
2 - 2
KAR
29%
23%
47%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
VIS
0 - 2
KYO
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
KYO
0 - 3
KAA
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
TOK
0 - 2
KYO
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
SHI
3 - 2
KYO
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |