League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
JEF United vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
JEF
1 - 0
KAW
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2005 |
JEF
2 - 0
OMI
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
FCY
2 - 1
JEF
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
JEF
3 - 2
ALB
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2005 |
CER
2 - 0
JEF
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
NAG
2 - 0
JUB
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
JUB
6 - 0
TOK
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
JUB
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
JUB
3 - 0
CER
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2005 |
OMI
0 - 2
JUB
42%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |