JEF United vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
URA
3 - 1
JEF
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
JEF
1 - 2
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VIS
2 - 2
JEF
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
JEF
0 - 1
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FCY
1 - 1
JEF
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
YOK
0 - 0
HON
36%
27%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
HON
1 - 2
FCK
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MCK
0 - 7
HON
14%
20%
67%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SON
2 - 2
HON
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
HON
2 - 1
GIR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |