JEF United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
KAT
2 - 0
JEF
17%
26%
58%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
JEF
1 - 0
VVA
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JEF
2 - 1
AVI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JEF
3 - 0
MIT
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
GIF
0 - 0
JEF
14%
25%
61%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 1
GIF
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 1
GIR
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 0
ROA
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOK
0 - 2
GIR
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
FAG
1 - 1
GIR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |