JEF United vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 2
JEF
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
JEF
2 - 1
TOK
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
TOK
1 - 2
JEF
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
JEF
1 - 1
YOK
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VIS
2 - 2
JEF
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
GIF
2 - 8
GAM
5%
14%
81%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
GAM
2 - 0
TOK
86%
10%
3%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
GAM
1 - 1
FAG
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MIT
0 - 2
GAM
10%
18%
73%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 1
GAM
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |