JEF United vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
URA
1 - 2
JEF
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
KAR
1 - 3
JEF
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
JEF
2 - 0
CON
73%
16%
12%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
TOK
1 - 2
JEF
45%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
JEF
2 - 2
JUB
19%
21%
59%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FCT
1 - 2
NAG
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
VIS
2 - 1
FCT
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
FCT
1 - 3
KYO
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
KAR
1 - 3
FCT
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
FCT
3 - 1
CON
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |