JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
TOK
1 - 0
JEF
50%
26%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
JEF
0 - 3
OIT
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
JEF
2 - 0
REN
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TOK
1 - 1
JEF
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
OMI
2 - 1
JEF
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
FAG
2 - 1
MIT
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FAG
2 - 1
TOK
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
FAG
29%
30%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 1
FAG
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
FAG
1 - 1
ALB
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |