JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
JEF
1 - 2
MAC
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
KAR
2 - 0
JEF
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
JEF
2 - 1
KAG
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
TOC
0 - 0
JEF
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
JEF
1 - 4
VVA
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
YOK
5 - 1
FAG
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
FAG
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FAG
1 - 1
REN
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
VVA
2 - 3
FAG
64%
23%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FAG
1 - 0
EHI
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |