JEF United vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KYO
2 - 0
JEF
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VVA
2 - 1
JEF
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
JEF
2 - 1
MIT
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
THE
2 - 0
JEF
21%
25%
55%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
JEF
2 - 2
TOK
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 3
OIT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 1
KAM
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TOK
3 - 3
FAG
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FAG
1 - 1
MAC
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FAG
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |