JEF United vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
KAW
0 - 1
JEF
70%
18%
11%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
VIS
2 - 1
JEF
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
JEF
1 - 4
TOK
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
JUB
3 - 1
JEF
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
JEF
1 - 2
KAA
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
CER
3 - 2
VIS
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
TOK
1 - 0
CER
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
CER
3 - 0
JUB
36%
24%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
KAA
0 - 1
CER
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
CER
0 - 3
NAG
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |