JEF United vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JEF
3 - 0
MIT
66%
21%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
GIF
0 - 0
JEF
14%
25%
61%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 1
JEF
14%
25%
61%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JEF
0 - 1
MAC
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
JEF
0 - 0
TOC
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 2
MAT
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
AVI
3 - 2
KAT
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GIR
4 - 2
AVI
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 3
SHO
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GIF
0 - 3
AVI
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |