JEF United vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SAN
3 - 0
JEF
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
JEF
0 - 3
SHI
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
FCY
2 - 1
JEF
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
JEF
0 - 0
SHO
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
KYO
2 - 3
JEF
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
AVI
4 - 2
KYO
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
TOK
2 - 0
AVI
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
AVI
0 - 1
GAM
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
URA
1 - 2
AVI
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
AVI
1 - 1
KAR
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |