JEF United vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
OIT
0 - 1
JEF
37%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
JEF
3 - 2
VEN
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
FCY
1 - 0
JEF
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
JEF
1 - 2
GAM
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
JEF
39%
23%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 1
YOK
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
OMI
2 - 1
ALB
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 1
VIS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
JUB
2 - 4
ALB
56%
22%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 0
NAG
52%
23%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |