Jedinstvo vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
10º
5º
42
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jedinstvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
JEZ
2 - 1
JED
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
JED
2 - 1
JEZ
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PET
2 - 3
JED
42%
26%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
JED
0 - 0
FKA
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
3 - 4
JED
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
FKA
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
4 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
RUD
50%
26%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 0
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |