Jedinstvo Ub vs Mladost Lučani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
16º
16º
16º
33
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jedinstvo Ub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
JED
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
JED
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
BEO
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
ČUK
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 0
JED
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 2
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MLA
0 - 2
CRV
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BEO
0 - 0
MLA
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VOJ
0 - 0
MLA
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
MLA
0 - 0
FKS
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |