Jedinstvo Ub vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
73.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
16º
16º
16º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jedinstvo Ub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ZEL
6 - 0
JED
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
JED
1 - 2
MLA
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
JED
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
JED
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
BEO
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NPA
1 - 7
CRV
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 1
CRV
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CRV
6 - 0
TOD
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
CRV
3 - 1
TSC
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MLA
0 - 2
CRV
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |