JDFS Alberts vs Rezekne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
3º
4
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 58 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 55 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 52 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 49 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 47 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 40 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 34 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 31 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 30 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 23 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 22 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 22 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 1
ALB
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 2
ALB
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
SUP
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
0 - 3
ALB
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALB
19%
23%
59%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
PRA
41%
20%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SKA
6 - 0
RFA
66%
19%
16%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 0
VAL
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
6 - 0
RFA
73%
16%
10%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 2
KFV
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |