JDFS Alberts vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+546%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
3º
19
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 59 |
3º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
PRA
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 2
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
PRA
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 0
OUD
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
RIG
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 70 | 51 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
SUP
15%
20%
66%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 4
OUD
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
OUD
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |