JBK vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
10º
2º
30
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
JBK
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
JBK
4 - 1
KUO
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 0
JBK
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
OPS
0 - 1
JBK
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
JBK
3 - 0
OTP
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 1
OPS
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
3 - 1
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 1
NAR
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SJJ
2 - 3
NAR
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 2
TP4
40%
22%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |