JBK vs Kuopion Elo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
12º
12º
19
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 3
NAR
37%
22%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ROP
4 - 0
JBK
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
JBK
4 - 4
FCV
21%
21%
59%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TP4
2 - 1
JBK
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kuopion Elo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 0
GBK
27%
20%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 0
KUO
57%
19%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 3
ROP
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 0
KUO
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |