JBK vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
10º
2º
17
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
JBK
1 - 1
ROP
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 2
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
KPV
0 - 2
JBK
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
JBK
2 - 2
FFJ
8%
16%
76%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GBK
1 - 0
JBK
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 4
OLS
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
NAR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
VIF
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |