Jataiense vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jataiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 2
JAT
13%
17%
71%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 3
JAT
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
JAT
0 - 1
ANA
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
GIO
2 - 0
JAT
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
JAT
2 - 0
APA
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 2
JAT
13%
17%
71%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 3
AEE
16%
18%
65%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 1
COE
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
JAR
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |