Jarville vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
RCE
0 - 1
JAR
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
JAR
1 - 0
FOR
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DIJ
4 - 2
JAR
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
JAR
4 - 1
COL
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BSU
2 - 1
JAR
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
THA
65%
20%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
THA
0 - 0
LUN
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
THA
0 - 1
SOC
9%
18%
73%
|
28 | 76 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
RCE
1 - 3
THA
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 3
THA
54%
23%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |