Jarville vs Sochaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
JAR
1 - 2
JUR
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
JAR
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
JAR
1 - 0
SCH
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SAR
5 - 1
JAR
38%
24%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
JAR
1 - 0
AUX
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
SOC
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SOC
1 - 1
GIR
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 0
SOC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SOC
2 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CAE
0 - 3
SOC
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |