Jarville vs Sarreguemines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
65.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 3
MEZ
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 3
STR
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 5
REI
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BIE
4 - 0
JAR
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 2
ILL
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MEZ
0 - 0
SAR
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AMN
2 - 1
SAR
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
TRO
4 - 2
SAR
64%
19%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 1
SAI
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SAR
2 - 2
STR
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |