Jarville vs Strasbourg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
14º
14º
14º
44
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 5
REI
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BIE
4 - 0
JAR
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 2
ILL
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
JAR
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 3
NAN
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 3
STR
47%
25%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
THA
1 - 3
STR
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
REI
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 0
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
STR
5 - 0
ILL
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |