Jarville vs Illkirch Graffenstaden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
14º
14º
14º
10
13º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
JAR
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 3
NAN
12%
16%
73%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
7 - 1
JAR
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 6
RAO
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 4
TRO
14%
18%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 4
MEZ
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
STR
5 - 0
ILL
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 3
REI
15%
19%
67%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 0
ILL
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
THA
1 - 0
ILL
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |