Jarville vs Biesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
73.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
14º
14º
14º
55
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ILL
3 - 1
JAR
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 0
CHA
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RAO
4 - 0
JAR
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 0
JAR
79%
13%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 2
SCH
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BIE
0 - 1
MEZ
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
STR
2 - 4
BIE
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BIE
1 - 0
REI
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BIE
0 - 0
THA
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 4
BIE
19%
20%
61%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |