Järva-Jaani vs Merkuur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Järva-Jaani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
MAA
5 - 0
JAR
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
JAR
3 - 2
IMA
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +3 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
POL
6 - 1
JAR
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
TKJ
1 - 4
JAR
40%
24%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
AJA
9 - 0
JAR
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 56 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Merkuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
MER
1 - 1
TRA
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
TRA
3 - 0
MER
85%
11%
5%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
EST
1 - 5
MER
66%
18%
17%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |