Jarota Jarocin vs Nowe Skalmierzyce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
55.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
17º
16º
54
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
2 - 3
STA
25%
21%
54%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIN
1 - 2
JAR
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
SOK
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
USK
2 - 2
JAR
12%
19%
70%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
JAR
2 - 3
SKO
15%
22%
64%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nowe Skalmierzyce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOW
1 - 2
VIN
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOK
2 - 3
NOW
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOW
1 - 2
USK
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SKO
6 - 0
NOW
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NOW
1 - 2
STO
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |