Jarota Jarocin vs Pogoń Lębork analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
GKP
2 - 2
JAR
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
JAR
2 - 0
LSR
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SOK
0 - 2
JAR
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 0
KAL
33%
27%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
PRZ
3 - 2
JAR
56%
21%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pogoń Lębork
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
LEB
2 - 0
CHW
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LPO
2 - 0
LEB
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LEB
2 - 3
PSZ
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
VIN
1 - 1
LEB
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
LEB
3 - 2
PSR
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |