Jarota Jarocin vs Bałtyk Gdynia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
17º
16º
28
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
USW
2 - 1
JAR
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 1
NOW
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
2 - 3
STA
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIN
1 - 2
JAR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
SOK
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bałtyk Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
VIN
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SOK
2 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 4
USK
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SKO
2 - 0
BAL
81%
14%
5%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
STO
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |