Jarosław vs Unia Tarnów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarosław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
WIE
2 - 4
JAR
23%
26%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GAK
1 - 2
JAR
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
3 - 0
KAR
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SRD
0 - 3
JAR
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 3
KSZ
21%
25%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Unia Tarnów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UTA
1 - 1
KAR
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KSZ
4 - 2
UTA
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
UTA
2 - 1
ASW
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POD
3 - 2
UTA
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UTA
3 - 0
TRZ
64%
21%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |