Jarosław vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarosław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
JAR
1 - 1
ORP
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
RES
2 - 1
JAR
76%
17%
7%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
JAR
0 - 0
PBP
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
POD
2 - 0
JAR
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
JAR
1 - 4
WWP
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MOT
4 - 4
UTA
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
KAR
1 - 1
MOT
11%
19%
71%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
STA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 2
RES
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MOT
2 - 0
POD
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |