Jarosław vs Cosmos Nowotaniec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarosław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POD
2 - 0
JAR
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
JAR
0 - 0
SOS
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TRZ
1 - 3
JAR
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 3
RES
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
STA
0 - 0
JAR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos Nowotaniec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SOS
5 - 2
CON
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
RES
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ORP
3 - 4
CON
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
UTA
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
KAR
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |