Jarabacoa vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
JAR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 2
CFC
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
JAR
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
MOC
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
JAR
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MUN
5 - 0
AVR
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 4
DEP
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 4
MUN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 1
UNI
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MOC
2 - 0
AVR
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |