JaPS vs Musan Salama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
IKI
0 - 0
JAP
23%
23%
55%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 0
NAR
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
TUT
1 - 4
JAP
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 1
ILV
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
BK4
1 - 0
JAP
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
AIF
3 - 1
MUS
67%
18%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 1
TPV
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
BK4
5 - 0
MUS
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 1
SAL
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ILV
4 - 0
MUS
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |