JaPS vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
BK4
1 - 0
JAP
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
JAP
1 - 1
TPV
53%
23%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LPA
1 - 2
JAP
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
JAP
7 - 0
TPS
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 2
SAL
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ILV
4 - 0
MUS
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ILV
0 - 2
BK4
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TPS
0 - 2
ILV
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
TPV
1 - 4
ILV
50%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ILV
0 - 1
PII
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |