Japan U23 vs South Africa U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
1 - 1
ESP
53%
21%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
3 - 1
HND
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
JAM
0 - 4
JPN
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
JPN
3 - 0
ARG
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
JPN
0 - 1
ARG
42%
24%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 1
RSA
46%
23%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
IRQ
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 0
RSA
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
RSA
72%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
JPN
4 - 1
RSA
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |