Japan U23 vs Paraguay U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
24%
21%
55%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
IRQ
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
JPN
2 - 0
UKR
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
UKR
2 - 2
PAR
9%
15%
77%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
23%
41%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 1
PAR
41%
23%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
4 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |