Japan U23 vs Nepal U23s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
JPN
1 - 0
SWE
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
JPN
2 - 2
COL
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
NGA
5 - 4
JPN
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
JPN
4 - 1
RSA
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 2
JPN
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nepal U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NEP
0 - 4
JPN
12%
19%
70%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
KWT
5 - 0
NEP
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
IRQ
4 - 0
NEP
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | -1 |