Japan U23 vs Mali U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
24%
21%
55%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
IRQ
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mali U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 1
ISR
87%
10%
3%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 0
MLI
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
MLI
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
UZB
1 - 2
MLI
74%
17%
10%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UZB
1 - 1
MLI
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |