Japan U23 vs Mali U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
JPN
0 - 0
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
JPN
5 - 2
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
USA
4 - 1
JPN
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 4
JPN
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 1
JPN
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mali U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 1
ITA
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
KOR
3 - 3
MLI
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
GRC
0 - 2
MLI
70%
18%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 0
MEX
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |