Japan U23 vs Italy U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
4 - 3
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
USA
2 - 2
JPN
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 0
JPN
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SVK
1 - 2
JPN
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
RSA
1 - 2
JPN
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
GHA
2 - 2
ITA
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
0 - 1
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
NGA
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
3 - 1
HND
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |