Japan U23 vs Iraq U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JPN
4 - 1
KWT
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
KOR
2 - 0
JPN
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 1
JPN
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
JPN
3 - 0
EGY
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
JPN
0 - 0
HND
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
IRQ
4 - 0
NEP
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
IRN
0 - 2
IRQ
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
IRQ
3 - 0
IRN
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
QAT
1 - 0
IRQ
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
IRQ
1 - 0
KOR
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |