Japan U23 vs Spain U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ISR
0 - 1
JPN
5%
15%
80%
|
70 | 7 | 63 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
JPN
1 - 0
MLI
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
JPN
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
USA
0 - 2
JPN
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 2
EGY
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RDO
1 - 3
ESP
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
UZB
1 - 2
ESP
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
USA
46%
23%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |