Japan U21 vs Togo U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
JPN
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
JPN
2 - 0
CRC
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
JPN
9 - 0
MYA
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SGP
1 - 8
JPN
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2007 |
GER
1 - 2
JPN
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |