Japan U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
CRC
0 - 1
JPN
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
JPN
3 - 1
SCO
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
JPN
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
1 - 1
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
1 - 1
BEN
93%
6%
1%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
SCO
0 - 2
NGA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
NGA
1 - 0
CRC
45%
24%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 1
NGA
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
NGA
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
NGA
1 - 1
NED
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |